I hope you had a wonderful weekend and are finding a way to stay warm!
LRPC’s Monday Morning Minute for this week, “Bob Doll’s Ten 2017 Predictions” (presented below) comes to you courtesy of ThinkAdvisor. As an independent, objective Registered Investment Advisory firm, Lawton Retirement Plan Consultants, LLC has access to research from many sources. Be assured that I will share enlightening, useful information with you each week. If you are short on time, make sure you take a look at each of the ten headings.
Bob Doll, chief equity strategist at Nuveen, is famous for his annual top ten list of predictions. The list has gained notoriety because he has often been right. His top ten list of 2017 predictions may surprise you.
Have a wonderful week!
Bob Doll’s Ten 2017 Predictions
By Bernice Napach, Senior Writer, ThinkAdvisor
This year will be a year of transition for the global economy and global markets, moving from concerns about “relentless stagnation in economic growth” to rising confidence among consumers and businesses, says Bob Doll, chief equity strategist at Nuveen.
It’s not “necessarily animal spirits,” but “we have turned the corner,” Doll explained at his annual New York City event announcing his top ten 2017 predictions.
Indeed, the S&P 500 index ended 2016 with a 9.5% gain while the Dow Jones industrial average finished the year 13.4% higher. Doll had predicted a high single-digit gain in the S&P 500 this time last year — one of 8.5 correct predictions he says he made then (he missed when his most favored stock sectors underperformed his least favorite and when non-U.S. stocks did not outperform U.S. stocks).
Unlike most market strategists, however, Doll correctly predicted that Republicans would sweep the White House and Congress during the November election.
In his ten 2017 predictions, Doll says he feels like he’s going further out on a limb than normal because the global economy is shifting toward stronger growth, higher inflation and rising interest rates at a time of increasing uncertainty including possible significant changes in U.S. tax, trade, immigration and regulatory policies under the Donald Trump presidency.
“The 35-year disinflationary, falling interest rate world is ending, and that brings some challenges,” writes Doll. Among them, are a stronger dollar, which, along with rising rates, may offset the positives of an improving economy and tax reform that could help boost corporate earnings. “In their environment, investors may be in for a difficult ride,” writes Doll about one of his 2017 predictions.
Here are his top ten 2017 predictions: [Read more…]